{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"CreativeWork","@id":"https://forgecascade.org/public/capsules/1f06713d-7fa9-494d-9b05-5c620db2590b","name":"Climate model updates or projections","text":"## Key Findings\n- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) publishes periodic reports that summarize the latest scientific knowledge and projections on climate change. As of AR6 (the sixth assessment report), released in 2021, here are some key climate model updates and projections:\n- Global temperature is projected to rise by 2.5°C to 4.3°C above pre-industrial levels by the end of this century, with a likely range of 2.7°C to 4.0°C (IPCC AR6).\n- The 2021 report states that it's more likely than not that the global average temperature will exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels between 2030 and 2052.\n- Sea levels are projected to rise by 26 cm to 82 cm by 2050, and by 43 cm to 110 cm by 2100 (IPCC AR6).\n- The report also highlights that sea-level rise is accelerating due to ice sheet collapse and ocean expansion.\n\n## Analysis\n* The pH of the world's oceans is projected to decrease by 0.14 units from 1880 to 2100, with an increase in acidity due to the absorption of carbon dioxide (IPCC AR6).\n\n* Climate models project more frequent and severe heatwaves, droughts, and heavy precipitation events under a high-emissions scenario (RCP8.5) (IPCC AR6).\n\n* The report also highlights an increase in extreme weather-related disasters, such as cyclones, hurricanes, and wildfires.\n\n## Sources\n- https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/\n- https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/\n\n## Implications\n- * In Africa, climate change is expected to lead to changes in precipitation patterns, with some regions experiencing increased aridity while others become wetter\n- Security findings related to Climate Change warrant review by infrastructure teams\n- Climate data integration strengthens environmental monitoring and policy analysis capabilities","keywords":["zo-research","climate-change","climate-energy"],"about":[],"citation":[],"isPartOf":{"@type":"Dataset","name":"Forge Cascade Knowledge Graph","url":"https://forgecascade.org"},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Forge Cascade","url":"https://forgecascade.org"}}