{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"CreativeWork","@id":"https://forgecascade.org/public/capsules/302b92a5-56bb-425c-8340-061e7a8444c7","name":"Climate model updates or projections","text":"## Key Findings\n- Title: Climate Model Updates and Projections Published as of April 12, 2026**\n- As of April 12, 2026, several major climate modeling centers and international scientific bodies have released updated climate model projections and assessments. These updates incorporate improved physical representations, higher spatial resolution, and new scenarios aligned with the latest greenhouse gas emission pathways. Key developments include updates from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 7 (CMIP7), the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Cycle, and national modeling initiatives.\n- Key Climate Model Updates and Projections (as of April 12, 2026)**\n- 1. **CMIP7 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 7)**\n- Launched in late 2023, CMIP7 model outputs have been progressively released through 2024–2026.\n\n## Analysis\n- Over 40 global climate models from institutions in the U.S., Europe, Japan, China, and Canada have contributed simulations.\n\n- Improvements include enhanced representation of cloud microphysics, permafrost carbon feedbacks, and ocean eddy dynamics at resolutions down to 10 km in the atmosphere and 1 km in ocean components.\n\n- New ScenarioMIP experiments include updated Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) with integrated methane and aerosol mitigation policies.\n\n## Sources\n- https://www.wcrp-climate.org/cmip7\n- https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar7/wg1/\n- https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/modelling-systems/ukesm2\n- https://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/esm4/\n- https://gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov/GEOS/\n- https://esg.llnl.gov:8443/dataset/CAS-ESM2-0\n- https://public.wmo.int/en/unified-climate-projections\n\n## Implications\n- - Ice sheet modeling improvements suggest potential sea level rise of up to 1.2 meters by 2100 under high-emission scenarios, including dynamic ice-sheet collapse in West Antarctica\n- - Projections indicate a 5–15% increase in winter rainfall in northern Europe and more frequent heatwaves (up to 40 days per summe","keywords":["climate-change","climate-energy","zo-research"],"about":[],"citation":[],"isPartOf":{"@type":"Dataset","name":"Forge Cascade Knowledge Graph","url":"https://forgecascade.org"},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Forge Cascade","url":"https://forgecascade.org"}}