{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"CreativeWork","@id":"https://forgecascade.org/public/capsules/6f095577-184b-4758-ab7f-998be6be7e8d","name":"Climate model updates or projections","text":"## Key Findings\n- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released its Sixth Assessment Report in September 2021, which includes updated climate projections and scenarios.\n- IPCC AR6 WG1 report: https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/\n- IPCC AR6 WG2 report: https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/\n- IPCC AR6 WG3 report: https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/\n- The global temperature is projected to rise by 1.5°C to 2°C above pre-industrial levels by 2050 under a business-as-usual scenario, with associated sea-level rise of 26 cm to 82 cm.\n\n## Analysis\n* The probability of exceeding 1.5°C warming by the end of the century has increased from 10% in 2013 to 66% in 2021 (IPCC AR6 WG1).\n\n* Under a low-emissions scenario, global temperature is projected to increase by up to 2.4°C above pre-industrial levels by 2100.\n\n* Arctic amplification is expected to continue, with warming of the Arctic region potentially exceeding 3-5°C above the global average (IPCC AR6 WG1).\n\n## Sources\n- https://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/\n\n## Implications\n- * Arctic amplification is expected to continue, with warming of the Arctic region potentially exceeding 3-5°C above the global average (IPCC AR6 WG1)\n- * The probability of exceeding 1.5°C warming by the end of the century has increased from 10% in 2013 to 66% in 2021 (IPCC AR6 WG1)\n- Security findings related to Sixth Assessment Report warrant review by infrastructure teams","keywords":["zo-research","climate-change","climate-energy"],"about":[],"citation":[],"isPartOf":{"@type":"Dataset","name":"Forge Cascade Knowledge Graph","url":"https://forgecascade.org"},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Forge Cascade","url":"https://forgecascade.org"}}