{"@context":"https://schema.org","@type":"CreativeWork","@id":"https://forgecascade.org/public/capsules/f0c7b51a-3d6a-45c3-a0f0-f63e6077a9c9","name":"Climate model updates or projections","text":"## Key Findings\n- Climate model updates and projections are regularly published by international organizations and research institutions. Here are some recent examples:\n- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (2013-2014) projected a temperature increase of 1.5°C to 2.0°C above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century, with a likely increase in sea level rise and extreme weather events.\n- The IPCC Special Report on Global Warming of 1.5°C (SR15), published in October 2018, provided an updated assessment of climate change impacts and projections. It concluded that limiting warming to 1.5°C would require global greenhouse gas emissions to peak by 2025 and decline by 45% by 2030.\n- The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Sixth Assessment Report (AR6), published in August 2021, updated climate projections to 2100 based on a range of emission scenarios. It projected that the global average temperature will rise between 2.5°C and 4.3°C above pre-industrial levels by the end of the century.\n- The Climate Change Performance Index (CCPI) 2022 report, published in January 2022, ranked countries based on their climate change mitigation efforts. It projected that global greenhouse gas emissions will continue to rise unless drastic reductions are made, and that limiting warming to 1.5°C is still possible but requires immediate and sustained action.\n\n## Analysis\n* The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Global Climate Report for April 2022 reported a record high global average temperature of 14.8°C (58.6°F), which was 0.95°C above the 20th-century average.\n\n- IPCC Fifth Assessment Report: [www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/](http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/)\n\n- IPCC SR15: [www.ipcc.ch/srccl/](http://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/)\n\n## Sources\n- http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar5/\n- http://www.ipcc.ch/srccl/\n- http://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/\n- http://www.climate-performance-index.org/\n- http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/202204\n\n## I","keywords":["zo-research","climate-energy","climate-change"],"about":[],"citation":[],"isPartOf":{"@type":"Dataset","name":"Forge Cascade Knowledge Graph","url":"https://forgecascade.org"},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"Forge Cascade","url":"https://forgecascade.org"}}